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EU Data Put 2025 on Track to Tie 2023 as Second-Hottest Year

EU climate data point to a 2023–2025 average above 1.5°C that signals policies remain off track for the Paris goals.

Overview

  • Copernicus reports January–November 2025 temperatures averaged about 1.48°C above the 1850–1900 baseline.
  • November registered roughly 1.54°C above preindustrial levels, ranking as the third-warmest November with pronounced warmth in northern Canada and the Arctic Ocean.
  • Analysts say 2025 is virtually certain to finish as the second- or third-hottest year on record, with 2024 still the hottest.
  • A weak, short-lived La Niña failed to cool global conditions enough to counter the long-term warming trend.
  • Samantha Burgess of Copernicus and the WMO warn the 2023–2025 three-year average is on track to exceed 1.5°C and that current trajectories do not meet Paris Agreement targets.