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EU Climate Monitor Says 2025 Set to Be Second or Third Hottest on Record

The latest Copernicus data points to a three-year average above 1.5°C, signaling rising overshoot risk for the Paris goal.

Overview

  • Global mean temperature for January–November 2025 was 1.48°C above the 1850–1900 baseline, matching 2023 so far.
  • November 2025 ran about 1.54°C over preindustrial levels and ranked as the third-warmest November, with notably high Arctic temperatures.
  • C3S reports the 2023–2025 three-year average is on track to exceed 1.5°C for the first time, despite a weak La Niña this year.
  • Record fossil-fuel emissions in 2025 coincided with severe disasters, including deadly Asian storms, Spain’s worst wildfires in decades, and a Jamaica‑striking hurricane intensified by climate change.
  • The update follows COP30’s lack of stronger fossil-fuel phase-out commitments, highlighting a persistent gap between science and policy.