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Ethereum Hovers Near $3,000 Support as Record Binance Leverage and Big Inflows Raise Liquidation Risk

Long‑term wallets added about 17 million ETH in 2025, reinforcing a potential floor above the 200‑week average.

Overview

  • ETH trades around $3,000–$3,100 after a 20%–24% monthly slide, holding above the 200‑week moving average but below shorter-term trend lines.
  • Binance’s Estimated Leverage Ratio hit a record near 0.5617 and roughly 509,900 ETH flowed into the exchange, heightening the chance of forced unwinds.
  • Spot and futures activity thinned, with 24‑hour spot volume down about 30% and futures volume off 29%, reflecting weak follow‑through in price moves.
  • Technicals flag a bullish RSI divergence and an ascending‑triangle setup, yet analysts say a sustained rebound likely needs stronger buying volume and a break through $3,200–$3,350 toward $3,425–$3,650.
  • Key supports cluster at $2,950 and $2,880—near the accumulation cohort’s realized price—with downside risk extending to roughly $2,700–$2,800 if those levels fail.