Overview
- Estonia’s foreign intelligence chief Kaupo Rosin told ERR there is currently no indication Moscow intends to strike the Baltic states or NATO.
- Rosin said Russian forces have adjusted behavior to avoid incidents, with aircraft and drones keeping to safer flight paths over the Baltic region.
- He noted that after NATO launched Baltic Sentry, no new cases of undersea cable damage have been recorded.
- Tallinn remains vigilant following a Dec. 18 hovercraft crossing on the Narva River, with a threat-level review and a possible border closure under consideration.
- The assessment contrasts with recent European warnings about a potential conflict in coming years, as Rosin urges sustained deterrence, defense investment, support for Ukraine, and precise labeling of sabotage or cyberattacks.