Overview

• Estonia published a flight map showing three Russian MiG-31s entered its airspace near Vainloo for about 12 minutes with transponders off and no filed plans on 19 September.
• Russia’s Defence Ministry denied any breach, saying the jets flew a planned route from Karelia to Kaliningrad over neutral Baltic waters without deviating.
• Tallinn has requested NATO consultations under Article 4 and obtained an emergency UN Security Council meeting for 22 September at 10:00 New York time, its first such request in 34 years of UN membership.
• NATO condemned the actions as reckless and the EU called them an extremely dangerous provocation, while Czech President Petr Pavel urged considering military responses, including destroying a violator.
• Poland’s Border Guard reported two Russian fighters flew at low altitude over the Petrobaltic offshore platform in Poland’s exclusive economic zone, reinforcing ISW’s assessment of deliberate probing of NATO defenses.