Overview

• The FPI model forecasts SEC teams to claim a nation-high 4.6 of the 12 playoff slots and assigns a 61% probability that an SEC program wins the national championship.
• Texas and Georgia rank as the two most likely title winners, with Alabama also among the top three championship contenders.
• Florida State, Auburn and Nebraska emerge as the biggest offseason risers after landing high-impact transfer portal classes.
• Undervalued programs—Arizona State, Iowa, Indiana and Texas Tech—are highlighted as sleepers capable of mounting conference title runs.
• Under the expanded 12-team playoff format, the Group of 5 champion is guaranteed a berth, with Boise State leading the Group of 5 playoff projections.