Overview

• ESPN recommends Arizona State under 8.5 wins (-120), citing the loss of Cam Skattebo’s 2,316 scrimmage yards and an unproven backfield despite QB Sam Leavitt’s upside and a largely returning defense.
• Baylor over 7.5 wins (-110) is backed on the strength of Sawyer Robertson’s late-2024 surge, four returning offensive linemen, key skill talent and a favorable slate, with Big 12 odds listed at +700.
• Iowa State over 7.5 wins (Even) is framed as the best value with 12 starters returning and QB Rocco Becht leading a healthier core, and the Cyclones are posted at +1100 to win the league.
• Kansas State is priced as a co-favorite around +550 thanks to QB Avery Johnson and a deep defensive front, though concerns persist about an inexperienced offensive line and an overhauled secondary, with another outlet selecting K-State at +600.
• Texas Tech over 8.5 wins at -150 is now a pass after USC transfer Quinten Joyner’s season-ending ACL injury and a new OC transition, shifting carries to J’Koby Williams and Cameron Dickey while markets cluster multiple contenders between +550 and +800.