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3h ago

Erin Turns Away From U.S. Coast as NHC Eyes Two Atlantic Disturbances

Dangerous surf persists for the Mid-Atlantic, with two trailing waves showing rising development odds.

Hurricane Erin, classified as a Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds, is impacting the East Coast. (Photo by Handout / NOAA / AFP)
An NHC graphic highlights features being monitored in the Atlantic Ocean, with the disturbance in question displayed in red.
This infrared satellite image shows Hurricane Erin near the U.S. East Coast and two other systems in the Atlantic with a chance to develop being tracked by the National Hurricane Center on Thursday, Aug. 21, 2025. (NOAA/GOES-East)
Forecast models, known as the "spaghetti models," show a tropical system off the coast of Africa potentially tracking into the Caribbean over the next 7-10 days. (weathernerds.org/courtesy)

Overview

  • Hurricane Erin remained a Category 2 storm with 105 mph winds early Thursday, located about 205 miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras and moving north-northeast at 17 mph.
  • Forecasts call for a turn to the northeast with increasing speed, passing between the East Coast and Bermuda through early Friday, then south of Atlantic Canada, and transitioning to a post-tropical system by Saturday.
  • A tropical storm warning covers Beaufort Inlet, North Carolina to Chincoteague, Virginia, with a 2–4 foot storm surge warning from Cape Lookout to Duck, and a tropical storm watch in effect for Bermuda.
  • Long-period swells from Erin are driving high surf and life-threatening rip currents from Florida to Canada, with the National Weather Service warning of 5–7 foot breakers and minor erosion along east Central Florida beaches.
  • The NHC is tracking a wave near the northern Leeward Islands with a 30% chance of formation in 48 hours and 70% in seven days, plus another wave west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with a 40% chance over two to seven days; the next name would be Fernand, and NOAA now forecasts 13–18 named storms this season.