Overview

• Erin reached sustained winds of 75 mph on Friday, marking it as the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season
• Tropical storm watches are in effect for Anguilla, Barbuda, St. Martin, St. Barts, Saba, St. Eustatius and Sint Maarten as the storm approaches
• Forecast models and reconnaissance data indicate a high likelihood of rapid strengthening to Category 3 or greater over the coming days in very warm, low-shear waters
• The system is expected to drop 2–4 inches of rain, with isolated totals up to 6 inches, across the northern Leeward Islands, U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, raising flash flood and landslide concerns
• While most tracks keep Erin well offshore as it turns northward, dangerous swells and life-threatening rip currents are expected to impact Caribbean shores and the U.S. East Coast next week