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Environment Agency Warns England Risks Spring 2026 Drought Without Sustained Winter Rain

An updated Met Office outlook points to a higher chance of a dry November to January.

Overview

  • After an exceptionally dry 2025 — about 83% of average rainfall, the driest spring in 132 years and the hottest summer — water reserves remain precarious.
  • The Environment Agency outlines three winter-recharge scenarios in which average rainfall would see most areas recover by March 2026, except parts of Cambridgeshire and Bedfordshire.
  • With only 80% of typical winter rainfall, most regions would be in drought or prolonged dry conditions by March, largely sparing parts of the North West; at 60%, nationwide drought is expected with likely hosepipe bans and pressure on farming and habitats.
  • Sections of England, including Yorkshire and the Midlands, remain in official drought, and Yorkshire Water continues to enforce a hosepipe ban.
  • Authorities urge households to conserve water, press water companies to reduce leakage and engage customers, and point to government investment in nine new reservoirs and upgraded pipes to boost resilience.