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England and Wales Fertility Falls to Record Low of 1.41 in 2024

Population growth driven mainly by immigration offset a small rise in births, pushing the rate to a fresh low.

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Overview

  • The Office for National Statistics reported a total fertility rate of 1.41, marking a third consecutive year of new lows.
  • Live births edged up to 594,677 from 591,072, yet the rate declined as the population expanded.
  • The population rose by about 706,881 to mid-2024, with roughly 98% of the increase attributed to migration.
  • Regional shifts were uneven, with only London and the West Midlands recording year-on-year increases; the West Midlands was highest at 1.59 and the South West lowest at 1.31.
  • Wales fell to 1.35 while England held at 1.42, and local rates ranged from Luton at 2.00 to the City of London at 0.32.