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Employer National Insurance Hike Triggers Job Cuts and Confidence Crisis

Industry groups warn the Chancellor that autumn tax hikes could escalate insolvency risks.

A passer-by walks past a job centre in Borough, in London, Britain, December 1, 2024. REUTERS/Mina Kim/File photo
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Overview

  • A British Chambers of Commerce survey found 13% of member firms have cut staff and 19% are considering redundancies since April’s employer National Insurance rise.
  • Business confidence has fallen to its lowest level since 2022 and the Bank of England reports employment plans have turned mildly negative under higher labour costs.
  • BCC Director General Shevaun Haviland told the annual conference the unexpected tax rise forced firms to rethink growth strategies and cautioned against further increases.
  • Weil’s European Distress Index places UK companies among Europe’s most at-risk for corporate distress, with retail sector insolvencies approaching decade-high levels.
  • Capital Economics estimates the Chancellor may need to raise up to £23 billion in the autumn to meet fiscal targets, raising the prospect of new levies on businesses.