Particle.news

Download on the App Store

Emperor Penguin Numbers Plunge 22% in 15 Years, Outpacing Climate Model Projections

Satellite data indicate declines are likely 50% worse than models predicted, raising alarm over potential extinction by 2100

Image
Image
Image
Image

Overview

  • Satellites tracked 16 colonies across key Antarctic regions to estimate population changes from 2009 to 2024.
  • The monitored colonies, representing about 30% of the world’s emperor penguin population, saw a 22% drop in numbers.
  • Observed declines outstrip the most pessimistic computer projections by approximately 50%.
  • Loss of stable sea ice has led to breeding failures, with thinning ice causing whole broods of chicks to perish.
  • Researchers warn that without significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, emperor penguins face the threat of near extinction by century’s end.