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Emissions from Israel’s Gaza Campaign Outstrip Those of More Than 100 Countries

Researchers attribute half of the estimated 31 million tonnes to Israeli weapons, 30% to US arms shipments, with most of the remainder linked to postwar reconstruction.

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Overview

  • A Social Science Research Network study finds direct war emissions could reach over 31 million tonnes of CO2e, exceeding the 2023 output of nations such as Costa Rica, Afghanistan and Zimbabwe.
  • Supply and use of Israeli ordnance account for 50% of the conflict’s greenhouse gases, while Hamas rockets and bunker fuel contribute just 0.2%.
  • US shipments of 50,000 tonnes of weapons and military supplies are responsible for roughly 30% of the total emissions since hostilities began.
  • Destruction of Gaza’s rooftop solar networks has driven reliance on diesel generators, further elevating emissions amid an acute energy crisis.
  • Projected reconstruction of 436,000 apartments, schools, clinics and roads will add another 29.4 million tonnes of CO2e, complicating future climate mitigation efforts.