Emerson Poll Puts McMorrow Ahead in Close Michigan Democratic Senate Primary

Overview

• Emerson College Polling/Nexstar finds Mallory McMorrow at 22% in the Democratic primary, with Haley Stevens at 17%, Abdul El‑Sayed at 16%, and 38% of voters undecided.
• In general‑election tests, Stevens leads Mike Rogers 47% to 42%, McMorrow leads 46% to 43%, and El‑Sayed is tied 43% to 43%.
• Among independents, Stevens holds a 13‑point edge over Rogers and McMorrow leads by 12 points, while El‑Sayed is up by three.
• The survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted Jan. 24–25, 2025 and carries a credibility interval of ±3 percentage points.
• The seat is open with Sen. Gary Peters retiring, former Rep. Mike Rogers is the likely GOP opponent, and the Cook Political Report rates the race a toss‑up, as endorsements stack up for McMorrow (Sen. Chris Murphy) and El‑Sayed (Sen. Bernie Sanders).