Overview
- An Emerson College Polling survey released Thursday found Abdul El‑Sayed leading Haley Stevens 54% to 39% among likely Democratic primary voters with a ±3.7 percentage‑point margin of error.
- The poll shows a sharp generational split with voters under 50 favoring El‑Sayed by about 42 points and voters over 60 favoring Stevens by about 14 points.
- Stevens has drawn heavy outside spending from pro‑Israel groups, including roughly $30 million by AIPAC‑linked efforts, while El‑Sayed has been boosted by endorsements from Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez, Elizabeth Warren and the UAW.
- Tensions escalated after a viral clip of El‑Sayed criticizing AIPAC prompted Stevens to accuse him on social media of wanting to 'blame all of your problems on Jewish Americans,' sharpening intra‑party divisions days before the Aug. 4 primary.
- Party leaders worry about November electability because multiple general‑election polls show Republican Mike Rogers performing better against El‑Sayed than against Stevens, a dynamic that could affect control of the U.S. Senate.