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Elon Musk’s Grok AI Taps Kalshi’s Regulated Prediction Market

The xAI chatbot now powers real-money forecasting on Kalshi after debuting on the crypto-based Polymarket to benchmark AI performance under different regulations.

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Kalshi
Elon Musk's xAI partners with Kalshi to bring Grok's AI insights to prediction markets

Overview

  • xAI integrated its Grok 4 model into Kalshi on July 24, enabling users to leverage real-time analysis of news, historical data and economic signals for trading event contracts.
  • Grok is also live on Polymarket, offering AI-driven market summaries for wagers on unregulated, crypto-based outcomes.
  • The parallel partnerships are designed to test Grok’s analytical capabilities and reliability across contrasting regulatory environments.
  • xAI secured a $200 million Pentagon contract for a government-specific version of Grok earlier this month, signaling high-stakes applications for its AI insights.
  • Prior episodes of AI hallucinations and extremist outputs from Grok have prompted calls for stronger oversight as its reach expands into financial markets.