Overview
- Responding to an X thread by user Hunter Ash on how nuclear deterrence affects governance, Musk wrote, “War is inevitable. 5 years, 10 at most.”
- Musk did not elaborate on the prediction, identify any parties or regions, or offer supporting evidence, and he has not issued a follow-up.
- Users turned to Grok, xAI’s chatbot, which linked the remark to Musk’s earlier warnings about civil unrest in Europe and potential flashpoints involving Taiwan and Ukraine.
- Some outlets framed the timeline as implying a possible nuclear conflict by 2030, a characterization based on interpretation rather than new information from Musk.
- The comment drew outsized attention given Musk’s influence and his previous role leading Donald Trump’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency.