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Elon Musk Calls for Families to Have Three Children to Prevent Population Collapse

Citing a revised replacement rate of 2.7 children per woman, Musk noted most developed nations now fall well below that threshold.

Overview

  • Musk urged that parents who choose to have children should have at least three to offset those opting for none or one and guard against long-term decline.
  • His plea responded to a Fortune-cited study that raises the replacement fertility rate from 2.1 to 2.7 children per woman to account for childlessness and gender imbalances.
  • Global fertility has plunged from an average of 5.3 children per woman in 1963 to under 2.5 today, with the US at 1.66, Italy at 1.29 and Japan at 1.30.
  • The latest UNFPA report warns that high child-rearing costs and difficulty finding partners are limiting people’s ability to meet their desired family size, pushing India’s rate down to 1.9.
  • As a father of 14 children with five women, Musk has linked falling birth rates to the decline of past civilizations such as ancient Rome.