Overview

• Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) is seriously considering a run for governor of New York after withdrawing her nomination for UN ambassador to avoid leaving her congressional seat vulnerable.
• Stefanik has garnered significant support from Trump-aligned figures, major donors, and New York GOP leaders, positioning her as a strong contender in the Republican field.
• Her potential candidacy could lead to a primary clash with Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.), who has long expressed interest in running for governor.
• Stefanik is seen as a formidable candidate due to her $10 million campaign fund, popularity among New York Republicans, and strong electoral performance in her district.
• If she enters the race, Stefanik would likely face Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul, whose low approval ratings and potential primary challengers could weaken her reelection bid.