El Niño to Persist Until April 2024, Escalating Global Temperatures and Potential Extreme Weather Events
El Niño Predicted to Peak between Now and January, Leading to Above-Normal Global Temperatures, Possibly Making 2023 Warmest Year on Record
- The current El Niño, which developed rapidly during July-August this year, is predicted to peak between now and January and last until at least April 2024, according to the United Nations' World Meteorological Organization.
- El Niño, a naturally occurring climate pattern that triggers higher global temperatures and varying precipitation effects, typically occurs every two to seven years.
- Due to the impact of El Niño, there's an ongoing prediction for above-normal global temperatures, possibly leading 2023 to become the warmest year on record. This stands prominently against the current hottest year ever recorded, 2016, which followed an exceptionally strong El Niño.
- Most of the El Niño's impact will emerge in 2024 in the context of rapid climatic changes, contributing to the increasing concentrations of heat-trapping greenhouse gases which lead to extreme events such as heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, heavy rains and floods in certain regions.
- Alongside global warming, other impacts from El Niño include geographical changes in rainfall patterns: above-normal rainfall is expected in the Horn of Africa, La Plata basin in South America, southeastern North America, and parts of central and eastern Asia while fewer showers are predicted in parts of South America, Australia, and the Pacific Islands.