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Eighty Years After Hiroshima, Nuclear Arms Control Faces Critical Deadlines

Stalled ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty leaves New START’s looming expiry without a successor agreement.

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Overview

  • Over 12,000 nuclear warheads remain worldwide, maintaining a potent legacy of civilian devastation from 1945.
  • Russia’s nuclear signaling toward Ukraine, including weapon deployments in Belarus, has constrained Western aid strategies.
  • Iran’s nuclear ambitions persist despite decades of sanctions, raising proliferation concerns.
  • China’s nuclear arsenal doubled from 2020 to 2023, intensifying strategic competition among major powers.
  • Experts warn that without CTBT ratification and a New START replacement, both nuclear weapons limits and test bans could unravel, risking renewed arms buildups.