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EIA Confirms 2025 Gasoline Average at $3.10 as Forecast Points to Sub-$3 in 2026

Fresh data tie the multi‑year decline to cheaper crude driven by soft global demand.

Overview

  • EIA reports 2025 U.S. regular gasoline averaged $3.10 per gallon, the third straight yearly decline, citing lower crude prices linked to oversupply concerns and a weaker economic outlook.
  • Nationwide pump prices sit near $2.81 per gallon in early January according to GasBuddy and AAA, matching an EIA-noted late‑December low for 2025.
  • GasBuddy projects a 2026 annual average of $2.97 per gallon, with a brief spring rise into the low $3.20s before easing after June and a December average near $2.80.
  • Regional gaps persisted in 2025, with averages ranging from $2.39 on the Gulf Coast to $4.32 on the West Coast, though all regions fell from 2024 levels.
  • The White House has highlighted reduced household fuel burdens, while GasBuddy’s Patrick De Haan attributes the declines to global market forces rather than presidential policy.