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Eden Defeat Leaves India Needing Near-Perfect Run for WTC Final

Analysts say India now need at least seven wins from their final 10 Tests to keep realistic qualification hopes alive.

Overview

  • India’s 30-run loss to South Africa at Eden Gardens leaves them fourth on 52 points with a 54.17% points percentage after eight matches.
  • Ten Tests remain — one vs South Africa in Guwahati, two each in Sri Lanka and New Zealand, and five at home to Australia — totaling 120 points.
  • Hindustan Times projects a minimum of seven wins to stay in contention, while Times Now’s model points to eight wins to clear a 65% benchmark.
  • A finish of seven wins, one draw and two losses would produce roughly a 64.81% PCT, aligning with recent finalist ranges of about 64–68%.
  • The next Test in Guwahati is widely viewed as a must-win to steady the campaign as Australia, South Africa and Sri Lanka currently hold stronger percentages.