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Economists Debate Recession Risks as U.S. Economic Uncertainty Grows

Concerns over tariffs, stock market declines, and consumer confidence fuel speculation about a potential 2025 downturn.

  • Experts remain divided on the likelihood of a 2025 recession, with Goldman Sachs estimating a 20% chance within the next year, up from 15%.
  • Key recession indicators include declining GDP, reduced consumer spending, falling business investment, and rising unemployment rates.
  • President Trump's tariff policies and trade disputes with major partners like China, Mexico, and Canada are cited as factors contributing to economic unease.
  • Economists emphasize that recessions are often identified only after they begin, as GDP and other metrics are lagging indicators.
  • Financial experts advise individuals to prepare by reducing discretionary spending, paying down high-interest debt, and building emergency savings.
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