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Economic Indicators Show Mixed Signals

While manufacturing activity is expected to improve, pending home sales and business activity may see a decline.

  • Economists expect December’s reading of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond's manufacturing activity index to improve to -4 from -5 in November.
  • The National Association of Realtors' monthly pending home sales index is expected to show a rise of 0.5% last month, as easing mortgage rates gave homebuyers some breathing room.
  • Pending home sales fell 1.5% in October as the average rate on a 30-year mortgage surged to its highest level since 2000.
  • MNI Indicators' monthly Chicago business barometer index, a key gauge of U.S. regional business activity, increased to 55.8 in November, its highest level since May 2022.
  • Economists project that this month’s reading of the Chicago business barometer index fell to 49.8.
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