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Economic Growth in 2024 Confirmed at 2.8% as Tariffs Cloud 2025 Outlook

New data highlights strong corporate profits and revised Q4 growth, but trade policies under Trump administration raise concerns over potential Q1 slowdown.

FILE - A consumer places a flat of eggs in a shopping cart in a Costco warehouse Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, in Sheridan, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File)
People walk around the Financial District near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., December 29, 2023. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
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Overview

  • The U.S. economy grew by 2.8% in 2024, with Q4 growth revised up to 2.4%, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis' final estimate.
  • Corporate profits surged by $204.7 billion in Q4 2024, marking a sharp rebound after a decline in the previous quarter.
  • The Trump administration's newly announced tariffs on Mexico and Canada have introduced economic uncertainty, dampening business and consumer sentiment.
  • Economists warn of a potential contraction in Q1 2025, citing trade policy uncertainty and adverse weather conditions, with growth estimates below 1.5%.
  • The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady, reflecting caution over the uncertain economic environment and potential risks to growth.