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ECB Policymakers Split on Next Steps After Seventh Rate Cut to 2.25%

Debate intensifies as Olli Rehn suggests larger cuts in June if inflation weakens, while Robert Holzmann urges caution over unresolved tariff uncertainties.

Overview

  • The European Central Bank reduced its key interest rate to 2.25% in April, marking the seventh consecutive cut since mid-2024.
  • Olli Rehn, a Governing Council member, indicated potential for larger rate cuts in June if inflation projections fall below the ECB's 2% target.
  • Robert Holzmann, another ECB policymaker, advocates delaying further cuts until there is more clarity on U.S. tariff policies and European Union responses.
  • Chief Economist Philip Lane ruled out bond purchases or other extraordinary measures, emphasizing the ECB still has room to adjust rates further.
  • Market expectations suggest at least one more 25-basis-point rate cut in June, with a possibility of another by the end of 2025.