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ECB: Euro-Area Food Prices Remain One-Third Above Pre-Pandemic Levels

The bank links renewed pressures to climate-driven commodity shocks that could keep many staples costly.

Overview

  • ECB economists report that sustained food costs are limiting a faster decline in overall inflation across the currency bloc.
  • Price gains since end-2019 are steep across staples: beef, poultry and pork are up more than 30%, milk about 40% and butter about 50%, with coffee, olive oil, cocoa and chocolate rising even more.
  • National increases vary widely, from roughly 20% in Cyprus to 57% in Estonia, with Germany around 37%.
  • Euro-area consumer prices rose 2.0% year over year in August 2025, matching the ECB target, yet food inflation has proven slower to unwind after peaking above 15%.
  • The ECB projects some easing in the broader outlook, with inflation at 2.1% this year and 1.7% in 2026.