Overview
- The ECB reduced its key deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2% on June 5, marking its eighth cut since June 2024.
- Euro-zone inflation fell to 1.9% in May, prompting the bank to lower its 2025 forecast from 2.3% to 2.0% and its 2026 outlook to 1.6%.
- The institution’s ongoing quantitative tightening program is removing liquidity from markets, partially offsetting the impact of cheaper borrowing costs.
- The ECB’s easing stance diverges from the US Federal Reserve, which keeps rates above 4% amid persistent inflation pressures.
- Heightened uncertainty from US tariffs on European steel and aluminium has led policymakers to signal a possible pause in rate cuts when they reconvene in July.