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Earthquake Sensors Track Falling Space Junk by Listening for Sonic Booms, Study Finds

A peer-reviewed Science study reconstructs a 2024 spacecraft breakup using seismic shock waves to enable faster fallout mapping.

Overview

  • Researchers used data from more than 120 southern California seismometers to detect the Shenzhou-15 orbital module’s sonic booms and infer its speed, altitude, trajectory and fragmentation.
  • The seismically derived path lay tens of kilometers from U.S. Space Command’s radar-based prediction, highlighting how reentry paths can diverge once objects begin to break apart.
  • Authors say the method can complement radar and optical tracking by rapidly narrowing debris fall zones and contamination risks, though it is unlikely to provide advance warning.
  • Effectiveness depends on dense seismic coverage and strong shock waves coupling into the ground within roughly 100 kilometers, and the Shenzhou-15 track cannot be fully validated because no debris was recovered.
  • The team has applied the approach to dozens of other reentries, including failed SpaceX Starship tests, and aims to automate detection and publish catalogs for integration into monitoring pipelines.