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Early Voting Surge in Virginia Shows GOP-Leaning Districts Ahead in First Tally

Analysts caution the first-week numbers are preliminary and do not forecast final results.

Overview

  • VPAP reports more than 35,000 ballots cast through Sept. 21, a 117% increase over the comparable point in 2021.
  • Among the 20 House districts with the most early votes, 11 are rated strong or lean Republican, five are strongly Democratic, and four are competitive.
  • Nearly all ballots so far were cast in person, with fewer than 1,000 returned by mail.
  • Republican leaders credit a deliberate early-vote push, highlighting Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s ‘Secure the Vote’ effort to encourage early participation.
  • The Democratic Party of Virginia disputes conclusions about a GOP advantage, calling the figures incomplete as early voting continues through Nov. 1.