Overview
- National Weather Service reports cold Canadian systems already producing snow across the Northeast with active lake-effect bands east of Lakes Erie and Ontario.
- Forecasts place New York City’s first measurable snowfall between December 9 and 14, with estimates around Dec. 9–10 at JFK/LaGuardia, Dec. 11 on Long Island, and Dec. 13 in Central Park.
- Interior and northern New York are seeing the early start, with Buffalo recording October snow and Syracuse, Rochester, Binghamton and other upstate locales targeted for early November accumulations.
- Seasonal guidance diverges, as NOAA leans warmer for the NYC corridor through December while some regional analyses and the Old Farmer’s Almanac flag colder spells in parts of the state.
- Projected seasonal totals reflect a sharp split, with NYC expected to finish below average at roughly 43–53 cm while western and central locations such as Buffalo could exceed 90 cm.