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Early-Season Heat Wave Brings Record-Breaking Temperatures to Texas and Manitoba

Unprecedented heat driven by a high-pressure ridge is intensifying health and infrastructure risks as it expands across North America.

Residents cool off in the Liz Carpenter Splash Pad at Butler Park on July 16, 2023 in Austin, Texas, during a heat wave.
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Weather over the southwestern United States on May 12, 2025.
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Overview

  • South Texas is forecast to experience temperatures between 104–110°F by midweek, with areas near the Rio Grande surpassing 110°F.
  • Southern Manitoba is expected to see temperatures peak at 36°C on Tuesday, nearly 19°C above seasonal averages, before a dramatic 30°C drop by Friday.
  • The heat wave, caused by a powerful high-pressure ridge, is expanding into the central and southern Plains, Southeast U.S., and Florida.
  • Environment and Climate Change Canada and the National Weather Service have issued heat alerts due to the extreme and unseasonal nature of the event.
  • Climate change is amplifying the intensity, frequency, and duration of heat waves, with the last decade recording the planet's ten hottest years since 1850.