Overview
- Post‑closing projections reported by El Periódico show D66 at about 27% of the vote, ahead of Geert Wilders’ PVV near 25%, with the GroenLinks–PvdA bloc trailing.
- If confirmed, the estimates would cut PVV’s 2023 haul by roughly a dozen seats, weakening Wilders after he toppled the previous coalition in June.
- Most parties have pledged not to join a Wilders‑led cabinet, signaling protracted coalition talks likely requiring four or five parties to reach a majority in the 150‑seat chamber.
- The campaign centered on hard choices over migration and asylum policy and a severe housing shortage, with large demonstrations and police‑assessed threats that briefly halted Wilders’ events.
- The snap election followed PVV’s withdrawal of its five ministers from the Schoof government, and polls also suggested a steep collapse for the reformist NSC that previously held 20 seats.