Overview
- A GOP-affiliated League of American Workers/TIPP poll of registered voters aged 18–25 shows young men prefer Gavin Newsom over J.D. Vance 38% to 33%, with 15% choosing someone else and 15% unsure.
- The TIPP online survey, conducted Oct. 22–28, sampled 2,100 respondents including 1,300 men, used weighting to national benchmarks, and reported a ±2.8% margin of error for male respondents.
- In the same TIPP data, young men view President Donald Trump and Vice President Vance unfavorably while Newsom’s job rating is net positive among that group.
- A separate Overton Insights poll of 1,200 registered voters reports Newsom leading Vance nationally by three points in a hypothetical head-to-head.
- Overton’s sample also shows Vance leading among self-identified Republican primary voters, underscoring intra-party strength even as early general-election polling remains close and highly preliminary.