Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Early Polls Put Newsom Ahead of Vance in 2028 Test Matchups

Both snapshots are early measurements with high uncertainty.

Overview

  • An age-specific League of American Workers/TIPP survey finds men aged 18–25 prefer Gavin Newsom over J.D. Vance 38% to 33%, with 15% choosing someone else and 15% unsure.
  • The TIPP poll was conducted online Oct. 22–28 among 2,100 registered voters aged 18–25, including 1,300 men, with a male margin of error of ±2.8%.
  • An Overton Insights poll of 1,200 registered voters shows Newsom leading Vance by three points in a national head-to-head.
  • Within Overton’s sample, Democratic respondents favored Kamala Harris over Newsom for the party’s nod, while Republican respondents put Vance ahead of other potential GOP contenders.
  • The TIPP results arrive after young men trended right in 2024, and its approval snapshots show Trump and Vance underwater with young men while Newsom posts a narrowly positive balance with a large share unsure.