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Early Christmas Outlook: Warm, Mostly Dry for Most Capitals as Sydney Faces Shower Risk

Meteorologists advise treating the two-week projection as provisional, with higher-confidence guidance due from the Bureau of Meteorology next week.

Overview

  • Extended forecasts from Weatherzone and AccuWeather favor a generally warm, dry Christmas Day across most Australian capitals.
  • Darwin is projected to be the hottest capital at about 35°C, while Hobart trends cooler with cloud and shower chances around the mid‑20s.
  • Sydney’s latest outlook points to humid 24–27°C conditions with a 40–60% chance of showers and gusty winds, with western suburbs hotter and slightly drier.
  • Indicative city readings suggest Melbourne in the mid‑20s with drizzle clearing, Brisbane near 30–31°C, Perth mostly sunny and warm, and Adelaide and Canberra warm with showers easing.
  • Forecasters stress low confidence at this range, noting clearer guidance from around December 22 and the Bureau’s official Christmas Day forecast about a week before the holiday, with a possible active northern monsoon still being monitored.