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1h ago

Eagles–Giants on TNF Tops Week 6 Reset as Barkley Upgraded and Books Rebalance After Upsets

Bookmakers say last week’s underdogs eased their risk, signaling a market now guided by injury updates and analytic probabilities.

Will Bijan Robinson and the Atlanta Falcons beat the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football? NFL Week 6 predictions, picks, odds preview the game on Oct. 13, 2025.
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Sep 28, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Green Bay Packers defensive end Micah Parsons (1) leaves the field after the game ended in a tie at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
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Overview

  • Saquon Barkley was upgraded to a limited participant on the Eagles’ estimated report, improving his chance to face the Giants on Thursday night.
  • Philadelphia is priced as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 41 and moneyline around Eagles -360/Giants +310 for the MetLife matchup.
  • ESPN’s model gives the Eagles about a 74.8% win probability, while independent simulations cited by Syracuse.com project a Philadelphia win but show value on New York +7.5.
  • Sportsbooks reported favorable Week 5 results after major underdog wins by the Patriots, Titans and 49ers, with BetMGM noting 90% of Bills–Patriots moneyline bets were on Buffalo.
  • Expert picks for Week 6 highlight divergent views from models, including FOX Sports’ Geoff Schwartz backing the Lions +2.5 at the Chiefs and a Buccaneers team total Over against the 49ers.