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1h ago

Eagles Host Broncos on Sunday as Betting Line Narrows Toward a One-Score Game

Advanced metrics point to pass-rush pressure as the likely swing factor.

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Philadelphia Eagles v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Overview

  • Philadelphia (4-0) hosts Denver (2-2) at Lincoln Financial Field on Oct. 5 with a 1 p.m. ET kickoff on CBS.
  • Oddsmakers have trimmed the spread to roughly Eagles -3.5 after Denver’s 28-3 Monday win, with BetMGM at -3.5 and DraftKings moving from -4.5 earlier in the week.
  • Next Gen Stats shows Denver generating pressure on 48.1% of dropbacks, while Philadelphia has allowed pressure on Jalen Hurts on 43.7% of attempts; Nik Bonitto has 27 pressures and 4.5 sacks.
  • Bo Nix has faced pressure on only 21.9% of his drops but carries turnover risk, with seven turnover-worthy plays and a 7 TD/4 INT line per PFF.
  • Injury notes: Eagles edge Nolan Smith is on IR, DT Jalen Carter (shoulder) and RT Lane Johnson (shoulder) were limited Wednesday; Broncos TE Nate Adkins (concussion) did not practice, and WR Marvin Mims Jr. was limited.