Overview
- One week before the Oct. 29 vote, forecasts put PVV at about 34 seats, with GroenLinks/Labour at 25, CDA at 23, D66 at 16 and VVD around 15.
- Roughly 47% of voters were still undecided a week out, underscoring the potential for late shifts in the outcome.
- CDA, VVD and GroenLinks/Labour have all excluded working with Wilders, and VVD also rejects a coalition with GroenLinks/Labour, complicating any path to a majority.
- Voters rank the housing shortage as the top issue, with an estimated shortfall of around 400,000 homes and competing party proposals on construction, regulation and social housing.
- Migration dominates the campaign as Wilders pushes a total halt to asylum seekers that legal analysts say breaches treaties, while recent anti-migration protests turned violent and security concerns prompted him to briefly pause campaigning.