Overview
- ANP’s near-complete tally shows D66 and PVV level on 26 seats each, with a small batch of postal and overseas votes still to be counted and the start of coalition steps likely delayed.
- Earlier Ipsos/NOS exit polls had D66 narrowly ahead at about 27 seats to PVV’s 25, underscoring a late centrist surge in a race that remains too close to call.
- PVV is set to shed roughly 11 seats compared with its 2023 breakthrough, while D66 leaps from nine seats two years ago to the mid‑20s in a major rebound.
- With the VVD, CDA and other mainstream parties ruling out a pact with PVV, D66 leader Rob Jetten is positioned to try to form a coalition and could become the country’s youngest and first openly gay prime minister.
- GreenLeft/Labour slipped from its 2023 standing and leader Frans Timmermans resigned, as voters focused on migration pressures and a severe housing shortage during a polarized campaign.