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Dubai Rentals Enter a New Phase in 2026 With Higher Vacancy and Selective Gains

Investors are being urged to prioritize year-round income stability as the market pivots from rapid gains to balance.

Overview

  • Forecasts from Colife point to an average vacancy rate near 12% in 2026, with peaks around 16% in July and September and troughs near 5% in October and November.
  • Rents are projected to rise by roughly 4–6% only in constrained, high-demand pockets, led by villas, townhouses and larger prime apartments in established beachfront communities.
  • Industry voices describe a more tenant-friendly landscape, with landlords expanding multi-cheque options, digital payments and targeted incentives, particularly in older buildings.
  • Betterhomes data highlights an expanding pipeline — about 200,000 units expected by 2027 — concentrated in areas such as Dubai Hills Estate, Business Bay, Downtown, JVC, Al Furjan and Dubai Marina, even as population growth above four million sustains demand.
  • Short- and mid-term segments face pressure, with Colife flagging up to 5% low-season declines for mid-term rents and AirDNA tallying roughly 25,000 short-term listings in 2025, reinforcing a shift toward long-term leases and homeownership.