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19m ago

Dry Start to Fall Gives Way to Midweek Rain and Thunderstorm Risk

Forecasts point to a Tuesday night–Wednesday shift to a wetter pattern featuring localized heavy totals plus a low-end severe threat.

16 WAPT Meteorologist Katie Garch has the latest most accurate weather forecast for Jackson and Central Mississippi
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Overview

  • Monday, the first day of fall, stays largely dry and pleasant with seasonable to warm highs in many areas.
  • Rain chances ramp up Tuesday into Wednesday, with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms; some spots could top an inch of rain, with 1–3 inches possible in parts of Indiana.
  • A few storms may turn strong to severe in localized areas, with forecasters citing a Marginal Risk for gusty winds and hail in spots.
  • The midweek rain could bring welcome drought relief in parts of the Midwest and New England, though amounts and placement remain uncertain.
  • Regional contrasts persist, from 90s heat in the South to subtropical moisture bringing light showers to Southern and Central California, while offshore Gabrielle is monitored and expected to stay at sea.