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Drosten and Wieler Tell Thuringia COVID Inquiry Early Action Saved Lives, Later Timing Fell Short

The panel aims to turn the testimony into concrete guidance for faster action in future outbreaks.

Overview

  • Christian Drosten testified that rapid infection-control measures in early 2020 likely prevented about 60,000 deaths, citing a comparison that Germany could have seen roughly 70,000 fatalities in the first wave instead of about 9,300 with a later response like Britain’s.
  • He said vaccinations substantially reduced mortality, which was especially evident during the Delta-driven winter of 2021–2022.
  • Former RKI president Lothar Wieler argued policymakers reacted too late ahead of the 2021 and 2022 winter waves and identified those moments as missed opportunities.
  • Wieler stated the Robert Koch Institute did not consider COVID-19 a “pandemic of the unvaccinated,” distancing the agency from political phrasing used at the time.
  • Drosten said a single SARS-CoV-2 infection conferred surprisingly little immunity and noted that pandemic trajectories depend on human behavior, complicating precise forecasts.