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Drew Mestemaker Emerges As Clear QB1 In 2027 Draft Race

An ESPN midseason poll shows his surge is forcing teams to rethink earlier projections, focusing attention on system fit and injuries during evaluations.

Overview

  • An ESPN midseason poll of 25 NFL scouts and executives gave Oklahoma State transfer Drew Mestemaker 17 votes as the quarterback most likely to be taken first in the 2027 draft, a larger single-quarterback total than in the poll’s three-year history.
  • Mestemaker rose from relative obscurity after transferring with coach Eric Morris and delivering standout games, including a 317-yard performance in Oklahoma State’s upset of Oregon and season totals of about 2,326 passing yards and 20 touchdowns through seven games.
  • Scouts praised Mestemaker’s size, arm strength and accuracy but warned that much of his production comes inside Morris’s offense, so teams will test whether his reads, timing and decision-making translate outside that system.
  • Former frontrunner Arch Manning has seen his stock fall because of accuracy problems, turnovers and ball-security issues, with Texas coach Steve Sarkisian warning of a possible change at quarterback and some NFL evaluators questioning whether Manning will enter the draft.
  • The class has been reshaped by injuries and inconsistency—Oregon’s Dante Moore is out for the season with a concussion—so teams say they will lean on updated game tape, medical reports and pre-draft workouts before finalizing draft boards.