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DRAM Contract Prices Set to Nearly Double in Q1 as AI Buyers Lock Up Supply

Vendors prioritize datacenter customers, creating a seller's market with little near-term relief.

Overview

  • TrendForce now projects DRAM contract pricing to jump roughly 90–95 percent quarter over quarter in Q1 2026, with NAND expected to rise 55–60 percent.
  • A report via DRAMeXchange, cited by Wccftech, says Micron proposed a 115–125 percent increase versus Q4 2025 contract levels.
  • Most long-term agreements being signed this quarter are centered on server DRAM, and DRAMeXchange characterizes the market as favoring sellers with limited buyer leverage.
  • Hyperscaler demand tied to AI training and inference is accelerating enterprise SSD orders and pushing overall memory supply to its limits.
  • Micron indicates new fab output will not materially arrive until 2028, which could push system prices higher as OEM inventories run down and restocking begins.