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4w ago

Drake Maye Moves to Odds-On MVP Favorite Entering Week 18

Advanced metrics bolster his case despite lingering questions about competition quality.

Drake Maye during the Patriots win agains the Jets.
Mike Vrabel and Drake Maye
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - DECEMBER 28: Drake Maye #10 of the New England Patriots is interviewed following the game against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on December 28, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
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Overview

  • Sportsbooks now price Maye as the MVP frontrunner, with odds as short as -330 at FanDuel on Wednesday night after a market swing that followed Matthew Stafford’s three-interception loss on Monday.
  • Maye’s Week 17 line — 19-of-21 for 256 yards, five touchdowns and a 157.0 rating — was flagged by NFL Research as a first of its kind, and the win clinched the AFC East and a perfect 8-0 road record for New England.
  • Across 16 games he has 4,203 passing yards and leads the NFL in completion percentage (71.7%), yards per attempt (8.9) and passer rating (112.9), with top-tier QBR (76.5) and EPA figures cited by multiple outlets.
  • Coach Mike Vrabel lauded Maye’s leadership and awarded him a custom game ball commemorating the team’s road wins, while Maye downplayed playing through a minor illness against the Jets.
  • Debate persists over his résumé, with critiques about schedule strength, Cam Newton’s “game manager” label and analysis noting a drop-off when forced past his first read, even as New England positions for a top AFC seed in Week 18.