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Dow and S&P 500 Hit Record Highs as Rate Cut Expectations Grow

Investors are increasingly confident in a September rate cut, buoying stocks and shifting market dynamics.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 40,000, marking an all-time high, while the S&P 500 also reached record levels.
  • Retail sales in June were flat but exceeded expectations, reinforcing optimism about an economic slowdown and potential rate cuts.
  • Small-cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000, surged 10% in five sessions, driven by lower inflation data and rate cut bets.
  • Political developments, including an assassination attempt on Donald Trump and his pick of Sen. J.D. Vance as running mate, influenced market sentiment.
  • The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower interest rates by September, with markets pricing in a 100% likelihood of a cut.
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