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Dollar Weakens as Policy Turmoil, Deficit Worries Push Investors to Hedge

A powerful rally in gold underscores a gradual erosion of trust rather than an imminent collapse.

Overview

  • The greenback is down more than 10% since President Trump returned to office, with a fresh slide linked to fallout from the Greenland crisis.
  • Gold has climbed nearly 80% over the past year as investors seek safety from currency volatility.
  • Foreign portfolios are shifting toward currency-hedged U.S. exposure and stronger non‑U.S. markets, with hedging flows themselves pressuring the dollar, analysts say.
  • Trump continues to press the Federal Reserve for steep rate cuts and has nominated Kevin Warsh as chair, a combination economists warn could further weigh on the currency.
  • Persistent deficits and rising interest costs have raised sustainability concerns, even as some governments expand non‑dollar settlement channels and global central banks still hold about $7.4 trillion in dollar reserves.